Monday, December 31, 2007

My primary concern

So last time I discussed issues regarding the coming Presidential primary on the Republican side of the ticket and promised to look at the Democratic ballot. However, the race on the Democratic side just isn’t as interesting as the chaotic free-for-all on the Republican side (which seems a reversal in how the 2 parties normally operate). Frankly, the Michigan Democratic Presidential primary ballot looks like swiss cheese as it’s missing 2 or the top 3 contenders for the nomination who needed to vow to Iowans that their votes were more important than yours lest the oh-so-serious voters of Iowa hold it against them and stop their campaigns. For too long, the premier position of the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries have ensured that our Presidential campaigns are focused heavily on promises of ever-greater subsidies for corn farmers in Iowa and anti-tax pledges to the wealthy elite in the Granite State and not enough on rust belt concerns like the loss of manufacturing jobs.

As the overwhelming favorite, Senator Hillary Clinton didn’t have as much to lose as the campaigns of Barack Obama and John Edwards and so her campaign chose to remain on the ballot in Michigan while her top 2 competitors asked to have their names removed. In any case, the Michigan Democratic primary results are pretty much nothing more than a beauty contest with no real binding results. In remains to be seen how much the media decides the results are worth (my guess is that it depends on what they've already decided the story will be and whether Michigan's results play into that narrative). It’s a shame seeing as how Edwards’ heavy union support and Obama’s obvious appeal to the many black voters in the Detroit area and independent voters in the “middle” of the state could both be seen as paths to winning the state’s delegates and could have propelled either or both onto the national ticket and helped make Michigan a true player in the march to decide the national party’s nominees.

If you think I sound like I’m less than enthused about Clinton’s candidacy it’s not because I’m against her gaining the nomination, it’s more that I’m traditionally for the most populist candidate as well as usually rooting for the underdog (the two go hand in hand in modern American politics, for reasons I address below), and against the media coronation that seemed to be taking place earlier in the year. Clinton could only be a step up from the blundering and corrupt fool we have in the Oval Office right now- except that the media obsession and irrational hatred of the Clintons lingers. I would have concern that this could prove to be a distraction from governing as it was when President Clinton was launching attacks against al Qaeda in response to their growing threat but all the media wanted to talk about was the missile in the President’s pants. Conveniently, they imitated the right wing’s cries of “wag the dog” but then after September 11, 2001 wailed that Clinton hadn't done enough. I digress, but only to show how the media creates a narrative that isn’t necessarily true but becomes truth through repetition, a lie told often enough...

We’ve seen the media create an “inevitable” campaign (on the Democratic side with Hillary, on the Republican side first with McCain, then Giuliani, then Thomspon, then Romney and now back to McCain- anything to stop Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee who’s embrace of theocracy isn’t as disturbing to the media as his economic populism is) only to jump on some minor issue to beat up the leader with and create a horse race because more ratings and more money can be earned from a hotly-contested battle. It’s a long-standing theory of mine that the media will ALWAYS try to create a contest even where there is none because the closer the race, the more advertising money the campaigns will spend with the TV networks and thus they make more money. They also do their best to ensure the “marquee match ups” the same way boxing promoters maneuver their fighters into fights with the biggest purse (in boxing this is done by having your fighter beat up lots of losers to falsely inflate their record to seem more impressive- in politics it's often achieved by raising lots of money as early as possible in the race). It is this quest for the biggest, most expensive battle that has the media trying to coronate Hillary Clinton and only “select” Republican candidates with ties to the Wall Street financiers who helped George W. Bush swamp John McCain in 2000. McCain was best known for his stance in trying to get big money out of the political process- an issue he mostly ignores now.

Another disgusting aspect of this is that the media will often push out voices that don’t align with their profit-making motive. Witness the media silence regarding the fact that Iowa is, despite their best efforts, a tight 3-way race where the John Edwards stands a serious chance of winning or at least finishing in a tight cluster with the other 2 front runners. Edwards has run the most populist campaign in recent memory and speaks out strong and loudly against entrenched corporate interests which threaten to overwhelm our democracy if left unchecked (if it’s not already too late). Edwards was on the ticket in 2004 and has spent a fair amount of time campaigning in Iowa and yet the media treats him as an also ran- it is fair to argue that because of those factors he’s not treated seriously because despite these advantages he’s still in a dead heat but that would require ignoring the obvious appeal of the former First Lady and Senator from New York is running against perhaps the most charismatic Democratic politician since Senator Clinton’s husband left office. The media black out of Edwards is no doubt because the main message of his campaign is that big money (you know, the people who buy ads on network television) has too much power while the citizens don’t have enough. The last thing the traditional media wants to see is a citizenry in control of the political system- no more deregulation, stronger worker protections, FAIR trade, etc. In other words, they cover politics while looking out for their bottom line. Frankly, the mainstream corporate media has become an obstacle in the fight for the citizens of this country to take their democracy back and their coverage of politics proves it.

Despite all the crying and gnashing of teeth at Fox News that Democrats are “too scared” to debate on their network (in fact, it was not the party bosses but the Democratic activists who forced the move as they have cataloged far too many examples of Fox News’ obvious bias in their reporting, including time after time placing a Democrat “D” next to the name of a disgraced Republican, that the network is run by Republican political operatives, most of its pundits are paid by right wing think tanks and is known to have been the first network to wrongly call the 2000 election for candidate Bush) and that this is a sign they only cater to their own base, the network has announced that they will exclude Republican candidate Ron Paul from their New Hampshire debate. Paul recently set the record for one-day on-line campaign fund raising for a presidential candidate. However, Paul’s campaign is outside the parameters the media wants to see and thus they do everything they can to shut out his voice. I strongly disagree with many of Paul’s positions but I would strongly advocate for these positions to be openly debated instead of being shut out completely. Paul has polled consistently better than many of the media darling such as Fred Thompson in the state of New Hampshire and yet Paul is excluded and ignored.

We’ve seen this before when the debate system set up by the 2 major parties shut out 2rd party voices such as Ralph Nader who once again was a loud voice opposed to media deregulation and consolidation and of the influence of corporate America over our political system and the resulting erosion of our freedoms and our rights. The media pretends polls are what matters when polls often only are a reflection of what the media is reporting. It’s a vicious circle in which the media gets to create the winners and losers by what they report and what they exclude and often the winners are the ones that, unsurprisingly, have the positions most in line with the CEOs and shareholders of the giant media conglomerates. Everywhere I go, people are angry and upset at how broken the system is and yet the media does everything it can to ensure that the winners are the ones who most guarantee the least amount of change. I think we’re past the time in American politics where anything short of millions of people of streets can effect much change, and we saw before the idiotic invasion of Iraq that our corporate media will even do its best to ignore and dismiss that.

So, in other words, it doesn’t matter who actually wins or loses in Iowa or even New Hampshire, let alone Michigan. What matters most is what a small group who attend each other’s cocktail parties in the upscale suburbs of Washington D.C., the “chattering class” if you will, decide. They will set up the expectations and they will decide how well the candidates performed against their false expectations and they will control the debates and manufacture a win for their side. No matter what, We The People lose.

For years, people in the other 48 states have decried the influence of two small, mostly white states in our political process which helps to further restrict the national debate by controlling which candidates are even seen as viable in a national election. The time has come to break the system and I applaud those in Michigan who stood up and did their best despite the fact that it backfired and now Michigan and Florida voters have lost the ability to fully participate in the system. Since we never really got a say in the process until it was mostly decided we really haven’t lost much, if anything.

I’d like to think in the next four years we’ll have figured out a better process- though we seem headed for a series of randomly selected, alternating regional primaries which may or may not be an improvement. However, given the fact that the entrenched interests are making serious money off the system as it exists now, the only way things change is if they change in a way that makes the Presidential election an even bigger revenue stream for the big media powers.

There is a slight outside chance that the people can have an influence larger than the media and select candidates willing to step up, listen to the people, lead, and change the corrupt system in place. WE can be the fly in the ointment. It is that small hope that keeps me pressing on. In 2004, the compressed primary season paved the way for a surprise showing for both John Kerry and John Edwards in Iowa (fueled by a desperate Gephardt campaign attacking Howard Dean which helped create the opening- something which could well happen in the GOP field this time, most likely for John McCain as Romney and Huckabee slug it out) that propelled them onto the national ticket. With an even more compressed selection process in place this time, I fear the possibilities are even greater than an early win will prove to be decisive and that only one or two states will get any real say (fueled by the media insistence that any other candidates step down only serves to speed us toward the general election which equals money for the big media companies). There’s a slim chance that an “outsider” candidate could win big early and use the condensed schedule to propel themselves to a surprising victory, but I wouldn’t bet on that happening. In fact, that's my primary concern...

21 comments:

el colibri said...

Poll Watcher: I am surprised at your only casual mention of Barack Obama in your Op-Ed. If you want to know who "owns" a candidate and have some insight into the direction a candidate is likely to take our country study the list of their financial supporters. Barack Obama's support is coming from ordinary, mainstream Americans. The number of 'little guys' all across America who want to take back this country is astonishing. If you objectively study and compare the demographics represented by Obama's contributors it wouldn't take a rocket scientist to conclude that the 'street people' in the United States are sick to death of the game professional politicians have been playing in Washington for several decades. LITTLE PEOPLE ARE DEMANDING CHANGE.

Anonymous said...
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Patti said...

After two stolen elections and having to put up with all of the illegal stunts of the corrupt Bush administration, I'm beginning to agree with George Carlin-if voting mattered they wouldn't let you do it. Can this democracy be revived? I think it is doubtful until we are faced with horrible shortages in this country that send hundreds of thousands into the streets demanding change. As long as Americans are comfortable nothing will change and until there is change nothing will improve for regular folks.

P.S. You may want to remove the junk mail ad that is posted above this.

Patti said...

Watching Obama's victory speech last night I had the feeling that I was getting a glimpse of the future. I hope so because I now realize just how unappealing and grueling a Clinton candidacy would be. I don't even want to go there. I'm ready for big changes in this country are so many others. Bring it on!

el colibri said...

Comment: Little noticed so far in the current political assessments is the fact that Obama is not only scaring the beejabers out of the embedded professional establishment politicians of both major parties he is also causing consternation among traditional black politicos.
Notice that professional black racists such as Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton and their ilk haven't had so much as a telephone call from the Obama people. In response some of the race baiters came out with; 'is Obama black enough?'; a clever ploy that hasn't resonated much with the black communuty and will surely back fire.
Like many establishment politicians racists in our society are rapidly morphing into relics.

Patti said...

el colibri,,

You're right. Obama is beyond all that race baiting stuff. As much as the folks like Sharpton try to pull him into their tired game they find they continue to be ignored.

From what I've gathered today, Obama has them lining up in New Hampshire. I think he'll do very well on Tuesday. It is going to be interesting to watch.

Patti said...

It was a great debate on ABC last night. I would support any of the 4 democrats. They are discussing the issues and all of them seem very capable. Of course Edwards is speaking such truth when he talks about the harm the corporations have done to this country and the citizens of this country. This is the crux of the problem and not enough Americans are hip to the fact yet.

Pol Watcher said...

I hope everyone noticed the vast gulf between the Democratic debate which was on issues and civil with few mentions of how awful the other side is while the GOP debate focused on ganging up on Romney and the Democrats (with the notable exception of Huckabee praise for Obama's campaign). When people say DC is too partisan I wish they'd look at which side is actually the one slinging 80-90% of the mud.

Spirogyra said...

I just caught bits and pieces of Sharpton's negative comments the other day about the Clintons. If the so-called black leadership in this country turn Obama's campaign into a race issue, he will lose. I liked him in that I viewed Obama as one who could finally unite this country, but if he falls into the "race" trap that Sharpton and others are leading him into, he will lose.

agnosticrat said...

Spiro
Obama, as far as I know has made no comments about Sharpton/Clinton. I highly doubt he will.
Also,
It may help to recognize that Sharpton has been (may still be) firmly in the Clinton camp. If he succeeds in scaring you away by discussing Obama's race, who will benefit?
This stuff is going to come up. If you are ready to bolt because of something someone else said, please do it now. There is no need to waste time pretending you won't get weak kneed in the general election.

el colibri said...

I read recently that Obama nasn't so much as telephoned Al or Jesse let alone invite them to endorse him or join his team. It is said that their feelings were hurt. You are right on about Obama keeping these black racists at arms length.
I really expect the "Swift Boat" crowd to come up with some kind of conspiracy involving Obama, Sharpton, Jackson and Islamic terrorists. There will be secret meetings, emails, photos and the whole bit...... just you wait. According to several forwards I've received the GOP slime machine is up and running as we speak.

Patti said...

How are you all feeling about the mess of our primary in Michigan? I think this has worked out beautifully for the repugs but I'm getting angry with having to watch all the news coverage of their candidates and we get just a mention of how there is only one democratic front runner on the ballot. It's a bit demoralizing when we are trying to build the party here in West Michigan.

agnosticrat said...

Correction:
I did not take into consideration that there was a Nevada Democratic debate.
I suspect that the moderator will bring up the Sharpton assertion, as well as the misogynist statements resulting from Hillary's supposed crying session.
Look for both Clinton, and Obama to smack notions, of a race, or sexist based candidacy out of the ballpark.

el colibri said...

Blink, I know that Senator Levin fully supports the Democrats in advancing their primary date in spite of the threat by the DNC to not recognize the Michigan delegates at the national convention. I have tremendous respect for Senator Levin but totally disagree with him on this.
I support Barack O'Bama (my favorite Irish candidate by the way)and feel totally frustrated that I can't express my preference in the primary.

sentinel said...

I support the efforts of Levin to force a change in the primary calendar to make it more equitable. Too bad it came at the expense of Mich Democratic voters in this election cycle. the MDP should not pay into the national party unless assured delegates are recognized. Better still, fringe Democrats should not pay their MDP dues until a resolve happens at the national level. The fact that many early primary voters made their minds up at the last minute should tell them that there has not been enough time to vet these candidates on either side. Its an injustice to voters in either party.

sentinel said...

Today's editorial in BC Enquirer

http://www.battlecreekenquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080113/OPINION01/801130304

el colibri said...

Throwing the baby out with the bath water?

Spirogyra said...

I think the Dems are in trouble again. The racial rift developing between the Clinton camp and Obama's is going to lose the presidency for the Dems unless it is squelched immediately. Leave it to the Dems to screw up a slam dunk.

Patti said...

spiro,

I couldn't agree with you more. I am depressed today to realize that once again the democratic party will probably loose. While the Clinton's are playing the race card in their desperate attempt to grab their entitled position to the highest office of the land, they are dragging down the entire party and loosing the race to John McCain. When you see how democrats have screwed up the Michigan primary you begin to realize that the dems have big problems that go beyond stolen elections and terrorist attacks.

God help us all!

el colibri said...

Blink and Spiro:
Indications are this morning that the Clinton/Obama camps have toned down their rhetoric a bunch, thank goodness.
Too, nothing in Democratic party politics can compare with the fundamental rift in the Republican party between the social, religious and fiscal conservatives. It will interesting if McCain becomes the front runner bacause then Bush's war of choice becomes the front and center issue. I don't think war hawk McCain can possibly win the support of the American people.

Spirogyra said...

Never "mis-underestimate" a Republican's ability to prostitute themselves for a victory. McCain is a prime example of that, having let GWB kiss him on his bald head in a moment of reconciliation. When its crunch time, the GOP stands together regardless of disparity of opinions, regardless of what their platform says they stand for, regardless of what is right for America.